Bill Karins, Meteorologist

Here are the latest observations on Hurricane Felix, a powerful Cat 5 storm that could bring significant damage to Central America and/or Mexico:

Felix will remain a very powerful hurricane until it hits land anywhere from Northern Honduras, Belize or the Yucatan of Mexico. With the exception of Felix's rapid intensification, not much has changed in regard to the forecast path. If anything, once Felix hits the Southern Gulf it is expected to move slower. So far it looks like there is a 0% chance Felix effects the U.S. in the next 5 days and a 25% chance Felix that Felix will effect the U.S. as a tropical storm or hurricane overall. Yesterday was also 25%.

TRACK IT: Follow Felix's Path

Forecast path as of 10:30 am, 9/3/07

The timeline:

Today, Felix will not effect any land areas.

Tuesday night, the center of Felix will come very close to the Coastline of
Honduras. If Felix heads due West, the eye could remain just offshore and
move right along the West to East coastline of Northern Honduras. This
would be a worst case scenario for the country. The last time a strong
hurricane followed this path, 8,000 people died from mudslides and flooding
back in the mid 1970s.

MORE: Hurricane Central

Wednesday night, Felix should make a landfall in Belize. The strength at landfall will depend
on how close Felix gets to Honduras. Closer to Honduras, Belize could get a Cat 1
or 2. If the storm remains 40-60 miles off the coast of Honduras, Belize would
get hit by a Cat 4 or 5. The strongest winds from Felix right now appear
headed from Belize City to Chetumal, Mexico. Unless something changes
dramatically, Cancun and Cozumal, Mexico, will only get brushed once again.

Thursday night, Felix heads into the Southern Gulf after weakening all day. The storm should
be a Cat 1 when it gets off land.

Friday night, Felix begins to strengthen and the forward speed will slow.

Saturday night, Felix, if it survives Honduras and Mexico, would move inland over
Northern Mexico as anything from a Cat 1 to Cat 3.

Saturday night, the heavy rain from Felix would push into South Texas.

Sunday night, Texas continues to see heavy rain from the remnants of Felix.

That's what we expect in the next few days with Hurricane Felix. As always with these storms, things may change so make sure to stay tuned to Weather Plus on your local digital cable and also on the web at weatherplus.com.

-BK